Trump may be first Republican to win NY, NJ in decades after Biden debate debacle, GOP leaders say

President Biden’s debate debacle has giddy New York and New Jersey GOP leaders believing former President Donald Trump could be the first Republican to win their states in four decades.Even if carrying the blue states is a longshot, party insiders and independent analysts expect Trump will do strongly enough in the suburbs that he can help Republican House incumbents defend seats they won in 2022 – and maybe even make gains.“Trump can win New York just like Ronald Reagan did in 1980,” said New York State Republican Party chairman Ed Cox.A recent Siena College poll had Trump trailing Biden by single digits — 8 percentage points in the Empire State, 47% to 39%.The survey was taken a week before the June 25 debate.A Trump campaign insider claimed internal polling also shows the contest in New Jersey is a “toss-up.” A Trump May rally in Wildwood in south Jersey drew 100,000 supporters.Cox said Reagan won because of “stagflation” under then-Democratic President Jimmy Carter and similarly, many voters have suffered from Bidenflation.“New York, a Democratic stronghold for decades, is within reach for Trump.

The conditions are ripe for political realignment with New York part of a Trump victory,” he said.“While New York is a blue state, it is more blue-collar blue than Upper West Side blue.”He also said Trump’s campaign focus – the border-migrant crisis, the economy and crime – are resonating with frustrated blue-leaning voters in the northeast.“Biden’s debate performance hurts the Democrats in New York running for swing seats,” said O’Brien “O.B.” Murray, a campaign strategist who has worked for Republicans and Democrats.Sign up for our Metro Daily newsletter! Please provide a valid email address.

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He said first-term Republican Rep.Michael Lawyer should have an easier t...