Trump bounces ahead of Biden in New Hampshire in 12-point swing from December: poll
Former President Donald Trump bounced ahead of President Biden in New Hampshire, marking a 12-point shift from December, a new survey found.Trump narrowly edged out Biden 44% to 42%, while 4% said they would vote for Independent Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.according to a St.
Anselm College Survey Center poll.That’s a sizable swing from last December when the same survey pegged Biden ahead with 49% to Trump’s 39% and Kennedy’s 8%.Unlike that December poll, the most recent one does factor in the new crew of third-party contenders, including Libertarian Chase Oliver (0%), Green Party contender Jill Stein (1%), and Independent Cornel West (1%).
“Biden leads among voters who dislike both candidates.However, more Democratic voters are drifting toward independent candidates than their Republican counterparts,” New Hampshire Institute of Politics executive director Neil Levesque explained.
“While 89% of Republicans are solidly backing Trump, Biden secures the support of only 82% of Democrats.”Still, Biden retains the advantage in the most recent RealClearPolitics aggregate of New Hampshire polling, with a 3 percentage point lead in a head-to-head matchup.Trump, 78, has the advantage in the national RCP aggregate and in most of the key battleground states as well.Despite having a Republican governor and legislature the GOP hasn’t won a presidential race in the Granite State since 2000.
New Hampshire has a paltry four votes in the Electoral College.However, the poll indicates that Trump is running more competitively than usual for Republicans in the presidential arena.Problematic for Biden is his ability to corral liberal votes.
Progressives have splintered this election cycle over the Israel-Hamas war and hundreds of thousands wrote in some iteration of “uncommitted” in protest of Biden’s support for the US ally.“For Biden to succeed, he must solidify his support among very liberal voters.
Currently, only 67% of this group supports him, with 15% still...