Week 3 NFL player props, picks, odds: Chris Olave, D.J. Moore

We’re only through two weeks of the NFL season, and it’s too early to overreact to star players underperforming.That’s the theme of my Week 3 player prop selections, as I’m looking to buy low on two wide receivers in phenomenal matchups this week.

I went 4-0 in my debut with this column last week, so let’s run it back with some more winners in Week 3.Read below for two of my best buy-low player props.(Keep in mind that lines move throughout the week, sometimes drastically, so if you need help on whether numbers are still playable, hit me up on X at @wayne_sports_).The Saints have been lighting the NFL on fire for two weeks, but Chris Olave hasn’t had a proper breakout game yet.

I believe that changes in Week 3 against an Eagles defense that ranks 31st against the pass by DVOA and has allowed the third-most yards to opposing wide receivers through two weeks.Olave leads all qualified wide receivers with an 89.5% separation percentage, according to PFF.Additionally, he’s running a lot more in-breaking routes this season, allowing him more opportunities for yards after the catch over the middle of the field.

Last week, he led the team with a massive 57% air-yard share and 37.5% target share.I also love that the Saints are running 11 personnel at the third-lowest rate in the NFL, consolidating targets among Olave and Rashid Shaheed.According to Fantasy Points Data, both have a 74.4% route-run rate, and the next-closest WR on the team is Mason Tipton, at 18.6%. Money has hit the over 4.5 receptions for Olave, pushing it up to -145.

Olave has hit 62+ receiving yards in 14 of 19 career games with 5+ catches, averaging 88.3 yards in those spots.Olave is projected for 69.4 receiving yards on FTN, giving us a strong edge on this prop. It’s been a slow start to the season for D.J.

Moore, but he leads all wide receivers with a 93.8% route-run rate and has a 36.3% air-yard share, according to Fantasy Points Data.It’s translated to just 36 and 53 receiv...