Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: MLB odds, picks, bets Wednesday

It’s too little and too late for the Orioles to usurp the Yankees for the AL East crown, but that doesn’t mean their final series with one another does’t matter. These are two of MLB’s most steady power-hitting lineups, yet the Under cashed in six of the 10 games in the previous three series. Zach Eflin has faced the Yankees three times in 2024, but this will be his first as an Oriole since getting shipped from Tampa Bay at the trade deadline.Although Eflin is 0-2 in those starts, he was burdened by underwhelming run support and discombobulated fielding.

He still maintained a 2.50 ERA in 18 innings against the Yankees. The Orioles don’t rank impressively in outs above average or fielding run value on FanGraphs, but the offense contends with New York within the top six teams of on base plus slugging percentage, as per FanGraphs. Eflin was a snug fit as the No.3 arm in a top-heavy rotation that has been plagued with season-ending injuries, but his most coveted attribute to O’s management is how seldom he walks batters.

Eflin’s acumen for throwing strikes consistently has pumped out a 2.9 percent walk rate, his career best in a stat category he’s consistently conquered. The Yankees have walked more than any other team in baseball, according to Statcast. Nestor Cortes has split his pair of meetings with the O’s while garnering a 3.00 ERA in 12 innings. I’ve mentioned Cortes’ favorability at home all throughout this season.Cortes has shaved the gap between his home and away splits in the second half, but he remains considerably more effective at Yankee Stadium, striking out nearly three more hitters per nine innings there. Let’s stay under in what projects to be a heavily contested pitching duel in a postseason tuneup. THE PLAY: Yankees-Orioles Under 7.5 (+100, FanDuel)Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post.

He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mi...