Jets vs. Broncos prediction: NFL Week 4 odds, picks, props, best bets
Coming off a dominant win over the Patriots and working on nine days rest, the Jets host the Broncos on Sunday in the early NFL window of games (1 p.m.ET, CBS). Denver got its first win of the season last week over Tampa Bay, but the Broncos are in a tough spot here, playing their second straight game on the East Coast and their third road game in four weeks.The Jets opened as 7.5-point favorites, which has stayed steady throughout the week.
The total, however, has been bet down to 39.5 from an open of 42.5.Let’s dive into the matchup.On Sunday, Bo Nix had his best game as a pro against a Buccaneers defense that blitzed him at a 60 percent rate.Highlighting impressive velocity, the rookie completed 2 of 3 passes of 20-plus yards downfield, but he’s also a quarterback who understands that you won’t go broke taking a profit in the NFL.
That’s a night and day difference from Caleb Williams, the Bears’ No.1 overall pick who has struggled while holding onto the ball too long.Nix has a tough test this week against a secondary that ranks third in Pro Football Focus’ coverage grades, but this isn’t the same pass rush we saw from the Jets last year.
Gang Green racked up seven sacks against the Patriots’ beat-up offensive line last week, but they rank just 25th in pass-rush win rate and need Haason Reddick on the field as soon as possible.The Broncos have struggled to find sustained success on the ground, and that’s unlikely to change this week.Denver’s offensive line ranks 30th in adjusted line yards, per FTN Fantasy, and the Jets have the fourth-best run-stop win rate in the league.
Expect a heavy dose of the pass from an offense that ranks ninth in pass play rate.Aaron Rodgers turned back the clock last week, and he now ranks fourth on the season in adjusted EPA per play.The cerebral aspects of the game will always be there for the future Hall of Famer, but it should be highly encouraging for Jets fans to see him making throws on the run and flash...