Is battleground Florida back? Donald Trump, Rick Scott down to narrow leads in poll

Florida was the ultimate swing state in previous election cycles, and new polling suggests 2024 may be a return to form.A Florida-based Victory Insights survey released Monday shows both the presidential race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump and the senatorial race between GOP incumbent Sen.Rick Scott and Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell too close to call.These are especially remarkable numbers given that Florida’s Republicans outnumber its Democrats by more than 1 million in registered voter rolls.

With rounding, Trump leads Harris 47% to 45%, with 8% undecided.Scott leads his Dem opponent 45% to 44%, with 12% undecided.Both races have dynamics keeping them close and potentially unpredictable down the stretch.The pollster notes the “overwhelming majority” of undecideds between Trump and Harris lack a party affiliation at all.But Scott’s problem is with Republicans.

While Trump can count on 94% of GOP registrants, only 88% of then say they back Scott’s re-election.Worth noting: The senator had less than 85% support in last month’s primary against two protest candidates, so the number tracks with electoral performance.As for Mucarsel-Powell, only 65% of voters know who she is, and she’s pulling 26% approval and 25% disapproval among them even as vote by mail is already underway.

While voters may not know much of the Democrat in this race, Scott has the opposite problem: They know him all too well.The senator and former two-term governor has 32% approval against 43% disapproval.Further data in the survey suggest Gov.

Ron DeSantis and two of his big November priorities are in trouble.The governor is actually treading water here with 45% approval and 45% disapproval, a remarkable decline from his nearly 60% approval in 2022.And two constitutional amendments he opposes look likely to pass.Amendment 3, which would legalize possession of three ounces of cannabis flower and five grams of concentrate, has 54% support, with 29% against and 17% undecided...