How an October surprise could impact the 2024 election, according to polling Nostradamus

A presidential historian and professor who correctly predicted nine of the last 10 US elections said an “October surprise” wouldn’t affect his prediction that Kamala Harris would win the 2024 race.American University professor Dr.

Allan Lichtman predicted in early September that the Democratic nominee would take home the win next month against her Republican challenger, ex-President Donald Trump.Lichtman, on Saturday, remained steadfast in his forecast — even if a last-minute scandal involving either candidate were to break this month, less than 30 days before the Nov.

5 Election Day.“One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise,” the renowned historian told CNN’s Michael Smerconish.

“I have never changed my prediction in response to an October surprise because the keys gauged the big picture of incumbent governance in strength and don’t sway by the events of the campaign.”The “keys” Lichtman, 77, speaks of are 13 categories he uses to assess the likelihood of each candidate’s ability to win the White House.In September, he said Harris has the advantage in eight of the 13 keys while Trump has three.

And the professor’s remark that the “October surprise” is a myth does have some historical proof to back it up.One of the more recent and notorious “October surprises” came one month before the 2016 election when an “Access Hollywood” tape was leaked to the Washington Post that showed Trump making disturbing and shocking remarks about his treatment of women.

“I don’t even wait.And when you’re a star, they let you do it.

You can do anything… Grab ’em by the p—y.You can do anything,” Trump told TV host Billy Bush about women he wanted to seduce in the 2005 clip.

Trump still won the election as Lichtman correctly predicted with his keys system.The scholar, who is a registered Democrat, claims to have correctly predicted the winner of every US presidential race since 1984 — though not w...