These are the Pennsylvania voters who could decide the election
Unexpectedly, Pennsylvania’s millennial and Gen X voters are poised to elect the next president of the United States. No longer adolescents, millennials are adults striving for families and homeownership in a world of uncertainty.For Gen X, 30-year mortgages locked in at 3% feel great, though the launch of MTV is now closer to the attack on Pearl Harbor than today.Life is coming fast for both generations.With millennials leaning to the left and Gen X voting to the right, neither Kamala Harris nor Donald Trump likely anticipated these voters determining the outcome of the presidential election that’s deadlocked in Pennsylvania. Stalemated at 48% for both Trump and Harris in the RealClearPolitics average, the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania will be won on the margins, public polling indicates.A significant number of Pennsylvanians have already decided to change their vote for president from 2020.
The recent Emerson/RealClearPennsylvania poll tells the story. Nearly 4%, or about 140,000, of Joe Biden voters indicate they are voting for Trump in 2024.Three percent, or about 100,000, of Trump voters have switched to Harris.
Trump wins the battle of voters switching sides. However, with potentially 7 million Pennsylvanians voting in the presidential election, the 4% of undecided voters represents about 300,000 people who are likely to determine the next president of the United States.The last two Pennsylvania presidential elections were decided by 80,555 votes in 2020 and 44,292 votes in 2016.In an era in which politics is religion, the undecided voters will likely outnumber the partisans who may not vote.The undecideds will be the deciders. Among undecideds leaning toward Harris, 40% voted for Biden in 2020 while 28% voted for Trump.This indicates Harris has not consolidated the Democrats and disaffected Republicans who placed Biden into office.The undecided voters leaning toward Trump tell a much different story.
Notably, none of these voters ...