These key voting blocs will decide who wins Michigan and maybe the White House

ANN ARBOR, Mich.— Michigan’s presidential contest will come down to the margins, and three key voting blocs will tip the race to either former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris Tuesday.

Michigan’s black, Arab American, and union voters traditionally favor Democrats, but this year they could be in play for Republicans, who need just a small contingent of Democratic defectors to flip the swing state’s 15 electoral votes into Trump’s column.The Post talked to two of Michigan’s veteran political operatives to weigh in on how these three demographics will determine the race Tuesday.

This diverse and sizable population is one of Michigan’s most important voting blocs, Republican strategist Jason Roe told The Post.“To me, it’s what makes Michigan the most fascinating of the battlegrounds,” said Roe.

“After 9/11, they saw the Republicans as an enemy.It was Bush and Republicans and the US government controlled by Republicans that was targeting their community.”But the Trump campaign is courting the Arab-American population in 2024, even opening a campaign headquarters in Hamtramck, Mich., a city home to a large Yemeni Muslim community, in the hopes of winning over voters disenchanted with Democrats’ handling of the Israel-Hamas War.

Many blame Biden for the continued carnage in the Middle East, and the veep along with him.Harris’ campaign messaging on the war in the Middle East has left many Arab voters wanting, with many even deserting the Democrat for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.But Roe says there are signs that Michigan’s Arab Americans may be willing to look past Bush-era policies and Republicans’ pro-Israel stance to cast their ballots for Trump on Tuesday.

“After October 7, we’re the most Zionist party to ever walk the earth,” the strategist said of his fellow Republicans.”So we’re not exactly a warm pool to come swimming in after October 7.

But they think Trump is the guy that can get this done ...