Week 13 NFL player props predictions, odds: Baker Mayfield, Tank Bigsby
Less games to choose from after four games occurred before Sunday, but we still have plenty of props to dive into.Eleven games are on the docket for Week 13’s Sunday slate, including a scintillating “Sunday Night Football” matchup between the 49ers and Bills.Player props have been profitable this season, although our last installment during Week 11 went 1-4, losing 3.2 units and bringing down our total profit to 7.6 units this season.Our current record is 21-18 on the year.In seasons past, we profited 20-plus units, and things typically get better as the season wears on when we get more data to influence our bets.That begins now as we travel to drop our player props for Week 13 of the NFL season.Baker Mayfield has cleared 9.5 rushing yards in all but two games this season.Add in 25+ rushing yards, which Mayfield did as recently as last week against the Giants and three of his last seven, and you surely have a +EV (plus end value) wager at long odds.The Panthers are giving up 23.09 rushing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks, a below-average league mark.
All of those things considered, we should be wagering on Mayfield this weekend.Rushing attempts, aka carries, are some of the better betting opportunities that we get each week, so be sure to target that, especially on Hard Rock and Bet365, which are the only sites that allow alternate bets on attempts.Tank Bigsby is the backup running back for the Jaguars but he’s also taken control of the role in different spurts this season.Prior to getting injured in Week 10, Bigsby had three straight games with more than a 50 percent snap rate.
He’s also run for 70-plus yards in five games this season.Travis Etienne has zero games with more than 70 rushing yards this season, so there isn’t anything statically that points to him reclaiming the lion’s share of that load with Bigsby back at full health.Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting.
During the football s...