AFC Championship game prediction: Bills vs. Chiefs odds, pick
By all accounts, Patrick Mahomes has not had the best season of any quarterback.Sure, he is 16-1 as a starter but many agree that win-loss records are an overused stat for QBs.
That is why he is not an MVP finalist this year. Nonetheless, he is still perceived as the league’s biggest difference-maker and best player.So why are the masses not lining up to back the Kansas City Chiefs (-2) as short home favorites? My theory is that too many are overreacting to the few regular season games Kansas City escaped losses with a fortunate play.
Yes, the special teams blocked a Denver Broncos winning field goal in Week 10.The Las Vegas Raiders botched a snap that could have led to a winning field goal in Week 13. Personally, I would basically dismiss those, regardless if K.C.
had lost the game.We routinely see elite teams suffer strange regular-season losses.
That’s often why professional bettors back underdogs.The best teams do not always play up to their capabilities, especially in a lengthy regular season. The bottom line is that the Chiefs have won and covered four straight games, having seemingly activated their “playoff mode.” I am not ready to wager against them with such a small point spread.
A two-point line basically aligns with what they’re trying to achieve, which is to win the game and advance to the Super Bowl. With all that being said, I understand the apprehension of backing them to cover this spread.The Bills handed Mahomes his only loss this season, a 30-21 Buffalo home win in Week 11. Thus, I see solid value in backing the Bills in a teaser, which is essentially a parlay where you adjust the point spread six points on each leg.
Getting the Bills +8 is the only way I am betting this game.I think they have a chance to win and I also do not envision a Chiefs blowout — because I see what many see.
This is not the same high-octane Chiefs offense. Mahomes is finding ways to win with various late-game heroics, so adjusting the point spread...